Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-17
Derby – Stoke
Home
45%
2.23 fair
Draw
27%
3.64 fair
Away
28%
3.62 fair
Expected Goals2.39
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.7% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.26 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.77 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.21 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.09 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.99 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — |
Total goals
| 90.9% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Both to score
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Away corners
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Cards
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds