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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-17 14:00

Birmingham – QPR

Home 48% 2.09 fair
Draw 27% 3.77 fair
Away 26% 3.92 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Birmingham – QPR
FINAL Actual Result 3–0 Birmingham – QPR
Expected Goals2.56
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.4% → 47.9% -0.5 pp
Draw 25.6% → 26.5% +0.9 pp
Away 26.0% → 25.5% -0.5 pp
Over 2.5 46.1% → 47.2% +1.1 pp
Both teams to score 49.3% → 50.8% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.51 → 2.56 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.09 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.93 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.9% 2.09 —
26.5% 3.77 —
25.5% 3.92 —
74.5% 1.34 —
52.0% 1.92 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Half-time result

40.9% 2.45 —
36.3% 2.76 —
22.9% 4.38 —

Half-time double chance

77.1% 1.3 —
59.1% 1.69 —
63.7% 1.57 —

Both halves

13.9% 7.17 —

HT/FT

34.5% 2.9 —
5.1% 19.42 —
11.8% 8.46 —
16.6% 6.01 —
7.8% 12.79 —
4.7% 21.14 —
16.5% 6.08 —

HT/FT double chance

68.1% 1.47 —
55.4% 1.81 —
30.9% 3.24 —
46.0% 2.17 —
53.8% 1.86 —
27.6% 3.62 —
34.9% 2.87 —
37.8% 2.65 —
45.6% 2.19 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
72.3% 1.38 —
47.2% 2.12 —
25.9% 3.86 —
27.7% 3.62 —
52.8% 1.89 —
74.1% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

77.0% 1.3 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Home team goals

78.1% 1.28 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Away team goals

64.6% 1.55 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Both to score

50.8% 1.97 —

Corners

73.7% 1.36 —
63.6% 1.57 —
52.7% 1.9 —
42.4% 2.36 —
33.0% 3.03 —
36.4% 2.75 —
47.3% 2.11 —
57.6% 1.74 —
67.0% 1.49 —

Home corners

78.5% 1.27 —
65.1% 1.54 —
50.8% 1.97 —

Away corners

56.6% 1.77 —
39.9% 2.51 —
26.0% 3.85 —

Cards

71.6% 1.4 —
52.7% 1.9 —
35.7% 2.8 —
21.8% 4.58 —
47.3% 2.12 —
64.3% 1.56 —
78.2% 1.28 —

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