Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-17 11:30
Watford – Charlton
Home
41%
2.46 fair
Draw
30%
3.28 fair
Away
29%
3.45 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Watford – Charlton
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Watford – Charlton
Expected Goals2.06
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.534%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.3%
→
40.6%
-2.7 pp
Draw
30.6%
→
30.5%
-0.1 pp
Away
26.1%
→
29.0%
+2.9 pp
Over 2.5
32.3%
→
33.7%
+1.4 pp
Both teams to score
38.9%
→
41.2%
+2.3 pp
Expected Goals
1.99 →
2.06
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Both halves
| 9.6% | 10.43 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.9 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.19 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.45 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Total goals
| 87.3% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.55 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
Both to score
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — |
Corners
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — |
Home corners
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Away corners
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.23 | — |
Cards
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds