Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-17 11:30
Middlesbrough – Cardiff
Home
64%
1.56 fair
Draw
20%
5.13 fair
Away
16%
6.11 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Middlesbrough – Cardiff
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Middlesbrough – Cardiff
Expected Goals3.11
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.6%
→
64.1%
-1.5 pp
Draw
19.5%
→
19.5%
+0.1 pp
Away
14.9%
→
16.4%
+1.5 pp
Over 2.5
58.1%
→
60.2%
+2.0 pp
Both teams to score
52.1%
→
54.9%
+2.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.04 →
3.11
+0.07
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — | |||
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.46 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Both halves
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 8.99 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.67 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.07 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — |
Both to score
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
Corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — |
Away corners
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Cards
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds