Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-16 19:00
Burnley – Wolves
Home
54%
1.86 fair
Draw
23%
4.43 fair
Away
24%
4.25 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Burnley – Wolves
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Burnley – Wolves
Expected Goals2.96
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.3%
→
53.9%
+10.6 pp
Draw
23.9%
→
22.6%
-1.4 pp
Away
32.8%
→
23.5%
-9.3 pp
Over 2.5
58.7%
→
56.9%
-1.8 pp
Both teams to score
60.5%
→
56.7%
-3.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.03 →
2.96
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.34 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.53 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.71 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.4 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.76 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.96 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — |
Both to score
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Away corners
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Cards
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds