Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-14
QPR – Derby
Home
39%
2.58 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
35%
2.86 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 9.5% | 10.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.27 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.12 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.37 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.45 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
Both to score
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — |
Away corners
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — |
Cards
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds