Ipswich – Aston Villa
Home
23%
4.27 fair
Draw
21%
4.71 fair
Away
55%
1.81 fair
Expected Goals3.43
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
19.9%
→
23.4%
+3.5 pp
Draw
20.5%
→
21.2%
+0.7 pp
Away
59.5%
→
55.4%
-4.2 pp
Over 2.5
62.9%
→
66.6%
+3.7 pp
Both teams to score
59.9%
→
64.7%
+4.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.25 →
3.43
+0.18
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 4.9% | 20.28 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.4% | 6.48 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.58 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.47 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.84 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.13 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.58 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.1% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — |
Away team goals
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Both to score
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — |
Corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — |
Away corners
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Cards
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds