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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-28

Wrexham – Portsmouth

Home 49% 2.04 fair
Draw 25% 3.97 fair
Away 26% 3.87 fair
Expected Goals2.75
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.1% → 48.9% -4.2 pp
Draw 22.8% → 25.2% +2.5 pp
Away 24.1% → 25.9% +1.7 pp
Over 2.5 56.2% → 51.9% -4.4 pp
Both teams to score 56.3% → 54.4% -1.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.94 → 2.75 -0.19
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.92 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.66 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.9% 2.04 —
25.2% 3.97 —
25.9% 3.87 —
74.1% 1.35 —
51.1% 1.96 —
74.8% 1.34 —

Half-time result

36.7% 2.72 —
41.5% 2.41 —
21.7% 4.6 —

Half-time double chance

78.3% 1.28 —
63.3% 1.58 —
58.5% 1.71 —

Both halves

14.6% 6.84 —

HT/FT

29.7% 3.37 —
5.2% 19.08 —
16.5% 6.06 —
15.0% 6.66 —
10.0% 9.97 —
5.0% 20.16 —
14.1% 7.11 —

HT/FT double chance

66.5% 1.5 —
58.0% 1.72 —
32.1% 3.12 —
42.6% 2.35 —
48.2% 2.07 —
26.0% 3.84 —
39.2% 2.55 —
43.3% 2.31 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Total goals

93.4% 1.07 —
76.2% 1.31 —
51.9% 1.93 —
29.5% 3.39 —
23.8% 4.2 —
48.1% 2.08 —
70.5% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

69.9% 1.43 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Home team goals

80.3% 1.25 —
48.7% 2.05 —

Away team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
30.4% 3.28 —

Both to score

54.4% 1.84 —

Corners

72.5% 1.38 —
62.2% 1.61 —
51.3% 1.95 —
41.0% 2.44 —
31.5% 3.18 —
37.8% 2.65 —
48.7% 2.05 —
59.0% 1.69 —
68.5% 1.46 —

Home corners

69.8% 1.43 —
53.9% 1.86 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Away corners

67.0% 1.49 —
50.9% 1.96 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Cards

67.2% 1.49 —
47.8% 2.09 —
31.1% 3.22 —
18.5% 5.4 —
52.2% 1.91 —
68.9% 1.45 —
81.5% 1.23 —

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