Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-28
Birmingham – Bolton
Home
60%
1.68 fair
Draw
21%
4.75 fair
Away
19%
5.17 fair
Expected Goals3.12
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.5%
→
59.6%
+9.1 pp
Draw
22.7%
→
21.1%
-1.6 pp
Away
26.8%
→
19.4%
-7.4 pp
Over 2.5
58.8%
→
60.6%
+1.8 pp
Both teams to score
59.1%
→
58.0%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.06 →
3.12
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
Both halves
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.61 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.25 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.8 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.31 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.57 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — |
Total goals
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Both to score
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Away corners
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — |
Cards
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds