Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-28
Hamburg – Bayern Munich
Home
9%
11.61 fair
Draw
13%
7.86 fair
Away
79%
1.27 fair
Expected Goals3.98
Most Likely Score0-3
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.576%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
6.8%
→
8.6%
+1.8 pp
Draw
11.2%
→
12.7%
+1.5 pp
Away
82.0%
→
78.7%
-3.3 pp
Over 2.5
76.2%
→
75.8%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
55.2%
→
58.7%
+3.5 pp
Expected Goals
4.01 →
3.98
-0.03
Most Likely Score
0-3
→
0-3
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 8.6% | 11.61 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 87.3% | 1.15 | — |
Half-time result
| 10.4% | 9.6 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
HT/FT
| 4.2% | 23.81 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.24 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.82 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.27 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.22 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.59 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.84 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.98 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — |
Total goals
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.62 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — |
Away team goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — |
Both to score
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.47 | — |
Away corners
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — |
Cards
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds