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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-17 11:30

Dresden – Magdeburg

Home 44% 2.25 fair
Draw 22% 4.57 fair
Away 34% 2.97 fair
Expected Goals3.53
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score69%
Over 2.569%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.4% → 44.4% 0.0 pp
Draw 21.9% → 21.9% 0.0 pp
Away 33.7% → 33.7% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 68.8% → 68.8% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 68.9% → 68.9% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.53 → 3.53 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.39 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.73 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.4% 2.25 —
21.9% 4.57 —
33.7% 2.97 —
66.3% 1.51 —
55.6% 1.8 —
78.1% 1.28 —

Half-time result

46.7% 2.14 —
31.2% 3.2 —
22.1% 4.52 —

Half-time double chance

77.9% 1.28 —
53.3% 1.87 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Both halves

12.5% 8.0 —

HT/FT

34.5% 2.9 —
8.0% 12.56 —
4.2% 23.98 —
8.5% 11.72 —
10.5% 9.51 —
12.2% 8.21 —
3.4% 29.15 —
17.3% 5.77 —

HT/FT double chance

61.5% 1.63 —
59.4% 1.68 —
34.8% 2.87 —
47.3% 2.11 —
57.4% 1.74 —
32.9% 3.04 —
23.8% 4.19 —
39.4% 2.54 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Total goals

86.7% 1.15 —
68.8% 1.45 —
47.1% 2.12 —
13.4% 7.49 —
31.1% 3.21 —
52.9% 1.89 —

1st-half goals

84.5% 1.18 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Home team goals

85.1% 1.18 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Away team goals

80.8% 1.24 —
48.5% 2.06 —

Both to score

68.9% 1.45 —

Corners

76.4% 1.31 —
66.8% 1.5 —
55.8% 1.79 —
45.1% 2.22 —
35.6% 2.81 —
33.2% 3.01 —
44.2% 2.26 —
54.9% 1.82 —
64.4% 1.55 —

Home corners

71.4% 1.4 —
56.4% 1.77 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Away corners

71.2% 1.4 —
55.6% 1.8 —
41.2% 2.43 —

Cards

82.0% 1.22 —
66.8% 1.5 —
49.4% 2.03 —
34.1% 2.94 —
33.2% 3.01 —
50.6% 1.98 —
65.9% 1.52 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds