Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-21
Leverkusen – Paderborn
Home
62%
1.61 fair
Draw
23%
4.31 fair
Away
15%
6.84 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
62.6%
→
62.2%
-0.4 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
23.2%
-0.2 pp
Away
14.0%
→
14.6%
+0.6 pp
Over 2.5
40.8%
→
44.2%
+3.4 pp
Both teams to score
38.3%
→
41.7%
+3.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.32 →
2.45
+0.13
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.94 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.71 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.62 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.37 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.51 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.23 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — |
Total goals
| 91.3% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.84 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.3% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.35 | — |
Both to score
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — |
Corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 85.1% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Away corners
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — |
Cards
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds