Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-06 19:30
Hamburg – M'gladbach
Home
38%
2.65 fair
Draw
26%
3.91 fair
Away
37%
2.73 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Hamburg – M'gladbach
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Hamburg – M'gladbach
Expected Goals2.79
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.8%
→
37.8%
+2.0 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
25.6%
+0.2 pp
Away
38.9%
→
36.6%
-2.2 pp
Over 2.5
53.7%
→
52.6%
-1.1 pp
Both teams to score
57.5%
→
56.8%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.83 →
2.79
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 9.7% | 10.33 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.69 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.62 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.63 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.31 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Both to score
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Away corners
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Cards
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds