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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-25 14:30

Hoffenheim – Leverkusen

Home 29% 3.46 fair
Draw 21% 4.84 fair
Away 50% 1.98 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-2 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen
FINAL Actual Result 3–0 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen
Expected Goals3.76
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.572%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.1% → 28.9% +0.9 pp
Draw 21.2% → 20.7% -0.5 pp
Away 50.7% → 50.4% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 70.6% → 72.3% +1.7 pp
Both teams to score 69.0% → 70.3% +1.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.65 → 3.76 +0.11
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.74 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
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17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.58 awaiting league sample
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1
2
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6
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9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.9% 3.46 —
20.7% 4.84 —
50.4% 1.98 —
49.6% 2.02 —
71.1% 1.41 —
79.3% 1.26 —

Half-time result

31.0% 3.22 —
29.7% 3.37 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Half-time double chance

60.7% 1.65 —
69.0% 1.45 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Both halves

7.2% 13.87 —

HT/FT

20.8% 4.82 —
6.4% 15.72 —
3.9% 25.71 —
6.6% 15.24 —
9.9% 10.13 —
13.2% 7.55 —
4.4% 22.52 —
33.3% 3.01 —

HT/FT double chance

43.5% 2.3 —
44.5% 2.25 —
33.4% 3.0 —
33.2% 3.01 —
59.5% 1.68 —
47.9% 2.09 —
22.5% 4.45 —
54.7% 1.83 —
60.8% 1.64 —

Total goals

88.9% 1.12 —
72.3% 1.38 —
51.6% 1.94 —
11.1% 9.0 —
27.7% 3.61 —
48.3% 2.07 —

1st-half goals

87.4% 1.14 —
61.4% 1.63 —

Home team goals

79.7% 1.25 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Away team goals

88.2% 1.13 —
63.4% 1.58 —

Both to score

70.3% 1.42 —

Corners

71.3% 1.4 —
60.7% 1.65 —
49.5% 2.02 —
38.7% 2.59 —
29.1% 3.43 —
39.3% 2.55 —
50.5% 1.98 —
61.3% 1.63 —
70.9% 1.41 —

Home corners

65.2% 1.53 —
48.6% 2.06 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Away corners

69.5% 1.44 —
53.6% 1.86 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Cards

78.0% 1.28 —
62.3% 1.61 —
46.0% 2.18 —
31.8% 3.15 —
37.7% 2.65 —
54.0% 1.85 —
68.2% 1.47 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds