Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-24 13:30
Paderborn – Hamburg
Home
39%
2.59 fair
Draw
30%
3.36 fair
Away
32%
3.16 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Paderborn – Hamburg
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Paderborn – Hamburg
Expected Goals2.1
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.536%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.8%
→
38.6%
-3.1 pp
Draw
32.0%
→
29.7%
-2.3 pp
Away
26.2%
→
31.6%
+5.4 pp
Over 2.5
27.6%
→
35.5%
+7.9 pp
Both teams to score
34.9%
→
42.2%
+7.3 pp
Expected Goals
1.83 →
2.1
+0.27
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 5.3% | 18.98 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.56 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.81 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.09 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.48 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.2 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Total goals
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.13 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 83.7% | 1.19 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — |
Both to score
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
Away corners
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — |
Cards
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds