Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-17 13:30
Werder Bremen – Paderborn
Home
51%
1.95 fair
Draw
30%
3.36 fair
Away
19%
5.28 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Werder Bremen – Paderborn
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Werder Bremen – Paderborn
Expected Goals1.88
Both teams to score34%
Over 2.529%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.6%
→
51.3%
+8.7 pp
Draw
31.0%
→
29.8%
-1.2 pp
Away
26.4%
→
18.9%
-7.4 pp
Over 2.5
31.1%
→
29.2%
-2.0 pp
Both teams to score
38.5%
→
33.7%
-4.8 pp
Expected Goals
1.96 →
1.88
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.28 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Both halves
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.45 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Total goals
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.16 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — |
1st-half goals
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Away team goals
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.55 | — |
Both to score
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — |
Corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — |
Away corners
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Cards
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds