Fixtures / Scotland L1 / 2026-10-10 14:00
Alloa – Hamilton
Home
29%
3.41 fair
Draw
27%
3.73 fair
Away
44%
2.28 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Alloa – Hamilton
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Alloa – Hamilton
Expected Goals2.44
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.5%
→
29.3%
+0.8 pp
Draw
28.1%
→
26.8%
-1.3 pp
Away
43.4%
→
43.9%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
43.4%
→
44.2%
+0.8 pp
Both teams to score
49.0%
→
49.2%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.44
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.1% | 5.23 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — |
Both halves
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.82 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.09 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
Total goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Both to score
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Corners
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Away corners
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Cards
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.08 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds