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Fixtures / Scotland L1 / 2026-10-03 14:00

Ross County – Alloa

Home 83% 1.2 fair
Draw 12% 8.68 fair
Away 5% 18.25 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-0 Ross County – Alloa
FINAL Actual Result 4–1 Ross County – Alloa
Expected Goals3.39
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 82.9% → 83.0% +0.1 pp
Draw 11.7% → 11.5% -0.2 pp
Away 5.4% → 5.5% +0.1 pp
Over 2.5 65.5% → 65.6% +0.0 pp
Both teams to score 41.9% → 41.9% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.39 → 3.39 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.52 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

83.0% 1.2 —
11.5% 8.68 —
5.5% 18.25 —
94.5% 1.06 —
17.0% 5.89 —
88.5% 1.13 —

Half-time result

53.1% 1.88 —
40.8% 2.45 —
6.1% 16.37 —

Half-time double chance

93.9% 1.07 —
46.9% 2.13 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Both halves

39.1% 2.56 —

HT/FT

50.3% 1.99 —
30.0% 3.33 —
7.7% 12.95 —
3.1% 32.15 —

HT/FT double chance

90.3% 1.11 —
84.0% 1.19 —
13.6% 7.38 —
56.8% 1.76 —
55.4% 1.81 —
6.2% 16.21 —
42.0% 2.38 —
37.6% 2.66 —
14.3% 7.01 —

Total goals

96.6% 1.04 —
85.0% 1.18 —
65.6% 1.52 —
44.0% 2.27 —
15.0% 6.64 —
34.4% 2.91 —
56.0% 1.79 —

1st-half goals

63.7% 1.57 —
27.1% 3.68 —

Home team goals

93.8% 1.07 —
76.6% 1.31 —

Away team goals

44.6% 2.24 —
11.7% 8.52 —

Both to score

41.9% 2.39 —

Corners

72.0% 1.39 —
62.3% 1.6 —
51.7% 1.93 —
42.0% 2.38 —
33.2% 3.01 —
37.7% 2.65 —
48.3% 2.07 —
58.0% 1.72 —
66.8% 1.5 —

Home corners

79.1% 1.26 —
66.4% 1.51 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Away corners

52.0% 1.92 —
36.0% 2.78 —
23.3% 4.3 —

Cards

79.2% 1.26 —
63.0% 1.59 —
45.8% 2.18 —
31.0% 3.22 —
37.0% 2.7 —
54.2% 1.85 —
69.0% 1.45 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds