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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-10-10 14:00

Ayr – Dunfermline

Home 40% 2.52 fair
Draw 28% 3.55 fair
Away 32% 3.11 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Ayr – Dunfermline
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Ayr – Dunfermline
Expected Goals2.31
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.541%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.5% → 39.7% +1.2 pp
Draw 28.7% → 28.2% -0.5 pp
Away 32.9% → 32.1% -0.7 pp
Over 2.5 40.7% → 40.8% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 46.6% → 46.5% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.32 → 2.31 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.31 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.7% 2.52 —
28.2% 3.55 —
32.1% 3.11 —
67.9% 1.47 —
60.3% 1.66 —
71.8% 1.39 —

Half-time result

38.0% 2.63 —
40.0% 2.5 —
21.9% 4.56 —

Half-time double chance

78.0% 1.28 —
62.0% 1.61 —
60.0% 1.67 —

Both halves

8.9% 11.19 —

HT/FT

29.3% 3.41 —
6.4% 15.62 —
9.5% 10.5 —
18.4% 5.44 —
12.1% 8.24 —
3.4% 29.15 —
17.7% 5.65 —

HT/FT double chance

63.6% 1.57 —
53.3% 1.88 —
39.2% 2.55 —
40.0% 2.5 —
50.1% 1.99 —
29.8% 3.35 —
32.1% 3.11 —
40.2% 2.49 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Total goals

89.5% 1.12 —
66.5% 1.5 —
40.8% 2.45 —
20.5% 4.87 —
33.5% 2.99 —
59.2% 1.69 —
79.5% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

71.6% 1.4 —
36.3% 2.76 —

Home team goals

70.2% 1.42 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Away team goals

65.8% 1.52 —
29.3% 3.42 —

Both to score

46.5% 2.15 —

Corners

70.9% 1.41 —
61.4% 1.63 —
51.3% 1.95 —
42.0% 2.38 —
33.0% 3.03 —
38.6% 2.59 —
48.7% 2.05 —
58.0% 1.72 —
67.0% 1.49 —

Home corners

72.1% 1.39 —
58.5% 1.71 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Away corners

61.3% 1.63 —
45.5% 2.2 —
31.8% 3.15 —

Cards

75.6% 1.32 —
58.9% 1.7 —
42.1% 2.38 —
28.0% 3.57 —
41.1% 2.43 —
57.9% 1.73 —
72.0% 1.39 —

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