Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-10-10 14:00
Arbroath – Morton
Home
42%
2.37 fair
Draw
28%
3.6 fair
Away
30%
3.33 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Arbroath – Morton
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Arbroath – Morton
Expected Goals2.44
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.7%
→
42.2%
-0.6 pp
Draw
27.6%
→
27.8%
+0.2 pp
Away
29.6%
→
30.1%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
43.7%
→
44.0%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
48.4%
→
49.0%
+0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.43 →
2.44
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
Both halves
| 10.0% | 9.97 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.88 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.19 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Total goals
| 90.5% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
1st-half goals
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Both to score
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Away corners
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — |
Cards
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds