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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-10-10 14:00

Arbroath – Morton

Home 42% 2.37 fair
Draw 28% 3.6 fair
Away 30% 3.33 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Arbroath – Morton
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Arbroath – Morton
Expected Goals2.44
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.7% → 42.2% -0.6 pp
Draw 27.6% → 27.8% +0.2 pp
Away 29.6% → 30.1% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 43.7% → 44.0% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 48.4% → 49.0% +0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.43 → 2.44 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.9 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.2% 2.37 —
27.8% 3.6 —
30.1% 3.33 —
69.9% 1.43 —
57.8% 1.73 —
72.2% 1.38 —

Half-time result

24.5% 4.09 —
50.0% 2.0 —
25.5% 3.92 —

Half-time double chance

74.5% 1.34 —
75.5% 1.32 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Both halves

10.0% 9.97 —

HT/FT

19.5% 5.14 —
3.7% 26.88 —
19.7% 5.07 —
18.1% 5.53 —
12.2% 8.19 —
5.9% 16.81 —
16.6% 6.03 —

HT/FT double chance

61.0% 1.64 —
52.7% 1.9 —
35.3% 2.83 —
32.1% 3.11 —
40.3% 2.48 —
27.5% 3.63 —
46.8% 2.14 —
51.5% 1.94 —
52.8% 1.89 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.1 —
69.4% 1.44 —
44.0% 2.27 —
22.9% 4.36 —
30.6% 3.27 —
56.0% 1.79 —
77.1% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

58.9% 1.7 —
23.1% 4.33 —

Home team goals

73.4% 1.36 —
39.0% 2.57 —

Away team goals

66.1% 1.51 —
30.0% 3.33 —

Both to score

49.0% 2.04 —

Corners

69.9% 1.43 —
59.9% 1.67 —
49.5% 2.02 —
40.1% 2.5 —
31.6% 3.17 —
40.1% 2.49 —
50.5% 1.98 —
59.9% 1.67 —
68.5% 1.46 —

Home corners

75.8% 1.32 —
62.5% 1.6 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Away corners

53.8% 1.86 —
37.6% 2.66 —
24.8% 4.03 —

Cards

77.4% 1.29 —
60.7% 1.65 —
44.1% 2.27 —
30.1% 3.32 —
39.3% 2.54 —
55.9% 1.79 —
69.9% 1.43 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds