Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-10-03 14:00
Livingston – Ayr
Home
62%
1.61 fair
Draw
23%
4.36 fair
Away
15%
6.64 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Livingston – Ayr
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Livingston – Ayr
Expected Goals2.57
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
60.0%
→
62.0%
+2.0 pp
Draw
23.5%
→
22.9%
-0.6 pp
Away
16.5%
→
15.0%
-1.4 pp
Over 2.5
47.9%
→
46.8%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
46.2%
→
44.0%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.6 →
2.57
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.75 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 32.79 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.45 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.17 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.84 | — |
Total goals
| 91.9% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
Away team goals
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — |
Both to score
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Corners
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Away corners
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.48 | — |
Cards
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds