Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-03 14:00
Aldershot – Carlisle
Home
28%
3.58 fair
Draw
22%
4.64 fair
Away
51%
1.98 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Aldershot – Carlisle
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Aldershot – Carlisle
Expected Goals3.46
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
25.2%
→
28.0%
+2.8 pp
Draw
21.7%
→
21.5%
-0.2 pp
Away
53.1%
→
50.5%
-2.6 pp
Over 2.5
64.8%
→
67.2%
+2.4 pp
Both teams to score
63.8%
→
66.2%
+2.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.34 →
3.46
+0.12
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.0% | 5.26 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — |
Both halves
| 6.3% | 15.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.6% | 7.34 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.41 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.26 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.29 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 9.05 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.25 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.79 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.6% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — |
Both to score
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
Corners
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Away corners
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — |
Cards
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds