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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-10 14:00

Stockport – Barnsley

Home 60% 1.67 fair
Draw 21% 4.85 fair
Away 20% 5.09 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-1 Stockport – Barnsley
FINAL Actual Result 3–1 Stockport – Barnsley
Expected Goals3.29
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 60.5% → 59.7% -0.8 pp
Draw 19.7% → 20.6% +0.9 pp
Away 19.8% → 19.6% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 65.3% → 63.6% -1.7 pp
Both teams to score 60.8% → 60.2% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 3.34 → 3.29 -0.05
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.79 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

59.7% 1.67 —
20.6% 4.85 —
19.6% 5.09 —
80.4% 1.24 —
40.3% 2.48 —
79.4% 1.26 —

Half-time result

39.0% 2.56 —
37.2% 2.69 —
23.8% 4.21 —

Half-time double chance

76.2% 1.31 —
61.0% 1.64 —
62.8% 1.59 —

Both halves

21.6% 4.63 —

HT/FT

34.5% 2.9 —
3.4% 29.07 —
20.2% 4.95 —
11.2% 8.94 —
5.8% 17.15 —
5.0% 20.0 —
6.0% 16.61 —
12.7% 7.86 —

HT/FT double chance

69.3% 1.44 —
61.6% 1.62 —
21.5% 4.65 —
49.0% 2.04 —
53.3% 1.88 —
23.3% 4.3 —
42.4% 2.36 —
43.8% 2.28 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
84.1% 1.19 —
63.6% 1.57 —
41.7% 2.4 —
15.9% 6.29 —
36.4% 2.75 —
58.3% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

76.2% 1.31 —
42.3% 2.37 —

Home team goals

88.0% 1.14 —
62.7% 1.59 —

Away team goals

68.4% 1.46 —
31.8% 3.14 —

Both to score

60.2% 1.66 —

Corners

74.7% 1.34 —
64.8% 1.54 —
54.4% 1.84 —
44.1% 2.27 —
34.7% 2.89 —
35.2% 2.84 —
45.6% 2.19 —
55.9% 1.79 —
65.3% 1.53 —

Home corners

78.6% 1.27 —
65.7% 1.52 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Away corners

57.6% 1.74 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.3% 3.66 —

Cards

69.3% 1.44 —
50.4% 1.98 —
33.4% 3.0 —
20.4% 4.9 —
49.5% 2.02 —
66.6% 1.5 —
79.6% 1.26 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds