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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-10 14:00

Stevenage – Wigan

Home 43% 2.31 fair
Draw 32% 3.1 fair
Away 24% 4.1 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Stevenage – Wigan
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Stevenage – Wigan
Expected Goals1.79
Both teams to score34%
Over 2.526%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.5% → 43.4% -0.1 pp
Draw 32.2% → 32.2% 0.0 pp
Away 24.3% → 24.4% +0.1 pp
Over 2.5 26.6% → 26.5% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 33.4% → 33.5% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 1.78 → 1.79 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.25 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.97 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.4% 2.31 —
32.2% 3.1 —
24.4% 4.1 —
75.6% 1.32 —
56.6% 1.77 —
67.8% 1.48 —

Half-time result

30.1% 3.33 —
54.9% 1.82 —
15.0% 6.65 —

Half-time double chance

85.0% 1.18 —
69.9% 1.43 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.11 —

HT/FT

24.3% 4.11 —
4.6% 21.6 —
17.9% 5.57 —
24.2% 4.13 —
12.8% 7.83 —
3.4% 29.15 —
10.5% 9.55 —

HT/FT double chance

71.1% 1.41 —
56.1% 1.78 —
42.7% 2.34 —
33.5% 2.98 —
37.0% 2.7 —
19.7% 5.09 —
46.7% 2.14 —
42.3% 2.36 —
50.9% 1.97 —

Total goals

83.3% 1.2 —
53.1% 1.88 —
26.5% 3.78 —
10.9% 9.14 —
46.9% 2.13 —
73.5% 1.36 —
89.1% 1.12 —

1st-half goals

51.0% 1.96 —
15.8% 6.31 —

Home team goals

65.6% 1.53 —
29.0% 3.44 —

Away team goals

51.2% 1.95 —
16.4% 6.08 —

Both to score

33.5% 2.98 —

Corners

66.0% 1.52 —
54.7% 1.83 —
43.8% 2.28 —
34.1% 2.93 —
25.4% 3.94 —
45.3% 2.21 —
56.2% 1.78 —
65.9% 1.52 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Home corners

69.1% 1.45 —
53.9% 1.86 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Away corners

56.4% 1.77 —
39.5% 2.53 —
26.1% 3.83 —

Cards

71.9% 1.39 —
53.5% 1.87 —
36.5% 2.74 —
22.8% 4.39 —
46.5% 2.15 —
63.5% 1.57 —
77.2% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds