Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-10 14:00
Milton Keynes Dons – Reading
Home
29%
3.43 fair
Draw
26%
3.92 fair
Away
45%
2.21 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Milton Keynes Dons – Reading
FINAL
Actual Result
1–5
Milton Keynes Dons – Reading
Expected Goals2.66
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
29.5%
→
29.2%
-0.3 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
25.5%
-0.1 pp
Away
44.9%
→
45.3%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
49.6%
→
49.9%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
53.3%
→
53.7%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.65 →
2.66
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 16.6% | 6.02 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 5.4% | 18.38 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.9% | 8.42 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.12 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.12 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.68 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.87 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — |
Both to score
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
Corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Home corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — |
Away corners
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — |
Cards
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.91 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds