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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-10 14:00

Leicester – Peterboro

Home 44% 2.28 fair
Draw 23% 4.26 fair
Away 33% 3.06 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Leicester – Peterboro
FINAL Actual Result 1–3 Leicester – Peterboro
Expected Goals3.16
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.3% → 43.9% -0.4 pp
Draw 23.3% → 23.5% +0.2 pp
Away 32.4% → 32.7% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 61.8% → 61.3% -0.5 pp
Both teams to score 63.1% → 62.7% -0.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.18 → 3.16 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.99 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.16 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.9% 2.28 —
23.5% 4.26 —
32.7% 3.06 —
67.3% 1.49 —
56.1% 1.78 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

51.2% 1.95 —
31.6% 3.16 —
17.2% 5.82 —

Half-time double chance

82.8% 1.21 —
48.8% 2.05 —
68.4% 1.46 —

Both halves

10.9% 9.19 —

HT/FT

36.6% 2.73 —
9.3% 10.8 —
5.3% 18.94 —
6.6% 15.17 —
12.2% 8.23 —
12.9% 7.76 —
14.5% 6.89 —

HT/FT double chance

64.6% 1.55 —
61.4% 1.63 —
39.6% 2.53 —
48.6% 2.06 —
57.1% 1.75 —
31.1% 3.21 —
21.4% 4.67 —
34.6% 2.89 —
41.6% 2.4 —

Total goals

95.5% 1.05 —
81.9% 1.22 —
61.3% 1.63 —
38.7% 2.58 —
18.1% 5.52 —
38.7% 2.58 —
61.3% 1.63 —

1st-half goals

81.7% 1.22 —
51.1% 1.96 —

Home team goals

81.8% 1.22 —
51.1% 1.96 —

Away team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.2% 2.37 —

Both to score

62.7% 1.6 —

Corners

80.3% 1.25 —
71.2% 1.41 —
61.3% 1.63 —
51.0% 1.96 —
41.5% 2.41 —
28.8% 3.47 —
38.8% 2.58 —
48.9% 2.04 —
58.5% 1.71 —

Home corners

81.4% 1.23 —
69.3% 1.44 —
55.8% 1.79 —

Away corners

63.8% 1.57 —
47.4% 2.11 —
33.4% 3.0 —

Cards

74.6% 1.34 —
57.0% 1.76 —
39.6% 2.52 —
25.7% 3.89 —
43.0% 2.32 —
60.4% 1.66 —
74.3% 1.35 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds