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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-10 14:00

Doncaster – Burton

Home 41% 2.45 fair
Draw 28% 3.59 fair
Away 31% 3.18 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Doncaster – Burton
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Doncaster – Burton
Expected Goals2.39
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 41.1% → 40.8% -0.4 pp
Draw 27.8% → 27.8% +0.1 pp
Away 31.1% → 31.4% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 43.0% → 42.6% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 48.6% → 48.2% -0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.4 → 2.39 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.78 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.8% 2.45 —
27.8% 3.59 —
31.4% 3.18 —
68.6% 1.46 —
59.2% 1.69 —
72.2% 1.39 —

Half-time result

28.7% 3.49 —
48.9% 2.04 —
22.4% 4.47 —

Half-time double chance

77.6% 1.29 —
71.3% 1.4 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Both halves

9.7% 10.31 —

HT/FT

21.8% 4.6 —
4.9% 20.49 —
16.7% 5.97 —
18.4% 5.45 —
13.9% 7.22 —
4.6% 21.74 —
15.5% 6.44 —

HT/FT double chance

61.7% 1.62 —
54.4% 1.84 —
39.1% 2.56 —
33.5% 2.99 —
41.6% 2.41 —
27.0% 3.7 —
41.9% 2.38 —
48.4% 2.07 —
52.3% 1.91 —

Total goals

90.8% 1.1 —
68.7% 1.46 —
42.6% 2.35 —
22.1% 4.51 —
31.3% 3.19 —
57.4% 1.74 —
77.8% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

60.0% 1.67 —
23.4% 4.27 —

Home team goals

72.4% 1.38 —
37.4% 2.68 —

Away team goals

66.7% 1.5 —
30.2% 3.31 —

Both to score

48.2% 2.07 —

Corners

67.3% 1.49 —
56.4% 1.77 —
46.0% 2.17 —
35.9% 2.79 —
26.8% 3.73 —
43.6% 2.29 —
54.0% 1.85 —
64.1% 1.56 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Home corners

66.9% 1.49 —
51.5% 1.94 —
37.0% 2.7 —

Away corners

61.5% 1.63 —
45.3% 2.21 —
31.3% 3.2 —

Cards

69.5% 1.44 —
50.4% 1.98 —
33.1% 3.02 —
20.0% 5.01 —
49.6% 2.02 —
66.9% 1.49 —
80.0% 1.25 —

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