Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-10 11:30
Plymouth – AFC Wimbledon
Home
66%
1.52 fair
Draw
19%
5.14 fair
Away
15%
6.83 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Plymouth – AFC Wimbledon
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Plymouth – AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals2.99
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
66.0%
→
65.9%
-0.1 pp
Draw
19.1%
→
19.4%
+0.4 pp
Away
14.9%
→
14.6%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
59.1%
→
57.6%
-1.5 pp
Both teams to score
52.0%
→
51.7%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.07 →
2.99
-0.08
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.83 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.68 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.18 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.08 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.63 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.59 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — |
Both to score
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Corners
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Home corners
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Away corners
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Cards
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds