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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-03 14:00

Wigan – Mansfield

Home 34% 2.91 fair
Draw 29% 3.4 fair
Away 36% 2.76 fair
Expected Goals2.24
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.7% → 34.4% -0.3 pp
Draw 29.0% → 29.4% +0.4 pp
Away 36.3% → 36.2% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 38.7% → 38.5% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 45.0% → 45.1% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.23 → 2.24 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.58 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.74 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.4% 2.91 —
29.4% 3.4 —
36.2% 2.76 —
63.8% 1.57 —
65.6% 1.52 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Half-time result

23.9% 4.18 —
45.1% 2.21 —
30.9% 3.23 —

Half-time double chance

69.1% 1.45 —
76.1% 1.31 —
54.9% 1.82 —

Both halves

7.4% 13.48 —

HT/FT

18.8% 5.31 —
4.0% 25.13 —
13.7% 7.28 —
19.5% 5.14 —
12.0% 8.35 —
5.9% 16.81 —
23.2% 4.32 —

HT/FT double chance

56.0% 1.79 —
45.6% 2.19 —
36.5% 2.74 —
30.6% 3.27 —
44.9% 2.23 —
34.2% 2.93 —
41.0% 2.44 —
50.7% 1.97 —
60.5% 1.65 —

Total goals

89.1% 1.12 —
65.0% 1.54 —
38.5% 2.6 —
19.4% 5.16 —
34.9% 2.86 —
61.6% 1.62 —
80.6% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

65.3% 1.53 —
28.7% 3.48 —

Home team goals

66.7% 1.5 —
29.9% 3.34 —

Away team goals

67.4% 1.48 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Both to score

45.1% 2.22 —

Corners

68.9% 1.45 —
58.1% 1.72 —
47.5% 2.11 —
37.1% 2.7 —
28.0% 3.57 —
41.9% 2.39 —
52.5% 1.9 —
62.9% 1.59 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Home corners

71.3% 1.4 —
56.1% 1.78 —
41.2% 2.42 —

Away corners

58.9% 1.7 —
42.5% 2.35 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Cards

68.8% 1.45 —
49.8% 2.01 —
32.5% 3.08 —
19.4% 5.16 —
50.2% 1.99 —
67.5% 1.48 —
80.6% 1.24 —

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