Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-13 19:00
Stoke – Middlesbrough
Home
30%
3.38 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
44%
2.27 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Stoke – Middlesbrough
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Stoke – Middlesbrough
Expected Goals2.57
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.0%
→
29.6%
-0.4 pp
Draw
26.3%
→
26.4%
+0.1 pp
Away
43.7%
→
44.0%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
47.7%
→
47.3%
-0.3 pp
Both teams to score
52.0%
→
52.2%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.59 →
2.57
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 6.1% | 16.31 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.0% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.42 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.73 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Total goals
| 92.2% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — |
Both to score
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Away corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Cards
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds