Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-13 19:00
Birmingham – Preston
Home
50%
2.02 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
24%
4.16 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Birmingham – Preston
FINAL
Actual Result
4–0
Birmingham – Preston
Expected Goals2.41
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.9%
→
49.6%
+0.7 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
26.4%
+0.2 pp
Away
24.9%
→
24.1%
-0.8 pp
Over 2.5
43.9%
→
43.1%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
47.8%
→
46.7%
-1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.44 →
2.41
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 14.4% | 6.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.31 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.03 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.99 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — |
Total goals
| 90.8% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
Both to score
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — |
Away corners
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — |
Cards
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds