Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-13 18:45
Millwall – Swansea
Home
43%
2.31 fair
Draw
28%
3.61 fair
Away
29%
3.46 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Millwall – Swansea
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Millwall – Swansea
Expected Goals2.37
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.9%
→
43.4%
-0.5 pp
Draw
27.2%
→
27.7%
+0.5 pp
Away
28.9%
→
28.9%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
42.1%
→
42.6%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
47.6%
→
47.5%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.38 →
2.37
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.54 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — |
Both halves
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.67 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.42 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.25 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Total goals
| 90.4% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — |
Both to score
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Away corners
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — |
Cards
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.23 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds