Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-13 18:45
Cardiff – Watford
Home
38%
2.63 fair
Draw
28%
3.58 fair
Away
34%
2.94 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Cardiff – Watford
FINAL
Actual Result
5–1
Cardiff – Watford
Expected Goals2.47
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
37.1%
→
38.0%
+0.9 pp
Draw
27.4%
→
28.0%
+0.6 pp
Away
35.4%
→
34.0%
-1.4 pp
Over 2.5
44.2%
→
44.7%
+0.4 pp
Both teams to score
49.7%
→
50.2%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.43 →
2.47
+0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.07 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 9.0% | 11.11 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.62 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.17 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.97 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 22.99 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Total goals
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — |
Both to score
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — |
Corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Away corners
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — |
Cards
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds