Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-13 18:45
Burnley – Charlton
Home
65%
1.54 fair
Draw
23%
4.27 fair
Away
12%
8.68 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Burnley – Charlton
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Burnley – Charlton
Expected Goals2.22
Both teams to score35%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.7%
→
65.0%
+3.4 pp
Draw
25.0%
→
23.4%
-1.5 pp
Away
13.4%
→
11.5%
-1.9 pp
Over 2.5
35.3%
→
38.7%
+3.4 pp
Both teams to score
33.8%
→
34.5%
+0.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.11 →
2.22
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.68 | — | |||
| 88.5% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 92.0% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — |
HT/FT
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.2 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.97 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.41 | — |
Total goals
| 88.8% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Away team goals
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.37 | — |
Both to score
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Corners
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Away corners
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.35 | — |
Cards
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds