Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-11 11:00
Southampton – Portsmouth
Home
69%
1.46 fair
Draw
17%
5.84 fair
Away
14%
6.99 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Southampton – Portsmouth
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Southampton – Portsmouth
Expected Goals3.47
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
68.5%
→
68.6%
+0.1 pp
Draw
17.3%
→
17.1%
-0.2 pp
Away
14.2%
→
14.3%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
67.4%
→
67.5%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
58.5%
→
58.5%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.47 →
3.47
0.0
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — |
Half-time result
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 7.98 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Both halves
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — |
HT/FT
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.08 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.03 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.67 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.35 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — |
Total goals
| 97.0% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.32 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.6 | — |
Both to score
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Corners
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — |
Home corners
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Away corners
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — |
Cards
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds