Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-10 14:00
Watford – Burnley
Home
23%
4.37 fair
Draw
27%
3.66 fair
Away
50%
2.01 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Watford – Burnley
FINAL
Actual Result
0–4
Watford – Burnley
Expected Goals2.23
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
22.8%
→
22.9%
+0.1 pp
Draw
27.4%
→
27.3%
-0.0 pp
Away
49.8%
→
49.8%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
38.6%
→
38.7%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
42.6%
→
42.6%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.23 →
2.23
0.0
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.03 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.36 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.97 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.98 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
Total goals
| 89.2% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Home team goals
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Both to score
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Corners
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Away corners
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — |
Cards
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds