Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-10 14:00
Derby – Wrexham
Home
41%
2.46 fair
Draw
26%
3.87 fair
Away
33%
2.99 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Derby – Wrexham
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Derby – Wrexham
Expected Goals2.78
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.0%
→
40.7%
-0.3 pp
Draw
25.9%
→
25.9%
-0.0 pp
Away
33.1%
→
33.4%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
52.4%
→
52.6%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
56.5%
→
56.2%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.78 →
2.78
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 11.0% | 9.12 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.56 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.7 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.18 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.3 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Both to score
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Away corners
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — |
Cards
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds