Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-10
Derby – Wrexham
Home
41%
2.44 fair
Draw
26%
3.86 fair
Away
33%
3.02 fair
Expected Goals2.78
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 10.9% | 9.13 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.0% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.89 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.34 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.66 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.28 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Both to score
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Away corners
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — |
Cards
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds