Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-10 14:00
Bolton – Stoke
Home
40%
2.49 fair
Draw
25%
3.96 fair
Away
34%
2.9 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Bolton – Stoke
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Bolton – Stoke
Expected Goals2.81
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.2%
→
40.2%
+0.0 pp
Draw
25.3%
→
25.3%
-0.0 pp
Away
34.5%
→
34.5%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
53.3%
→
53.3%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
56.9%
→
56.9%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.81 →
2.81
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 10.2% | 9.78 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.31 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.55 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.86 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 24.04 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Total goals
| 93.9% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — |
Both to score
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Away corners
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — |
Cards
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds