Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-10 13:30
Hoffenheim – Hamburg
Home
61%
1.65 fair
Draw
20%
4.91 fair
Away
19%
5.3 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Hoffenheim – Hamburg
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Hoffenheim – Hamburg
Expected Goals3.3
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.0%
→
60.8%
-0.2 pp
Draw
19.9%
→
20.4%
+0.4 pp
Away
19.1%
→
18.9%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
63.8%
→
63.9%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
60.0%
→
60.0%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.3 →
3.3
0.0
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.3 | — | |||
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Both halves
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — |
HT/FT
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.27 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.26 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.79 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.75 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.39 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.24 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — |
Both to score
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — |
Away corners
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.22 | — |
Cards
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds