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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-10 13:30

Augsburg – Bayern Munich

Home 11% 9.4 fair
Draw 14% 6.9 fair
Away 75% 1.34 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-2 Augsburg – Bayern Munich
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Augsburg – Bayern Munich
Expected Goals3.95
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.575%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 10.7% → 10.6% -0.0 pp
Draw 14.1% → 14.5% +0.4 pp
Away 75.2% → 74.9% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 75.5% → 74.9% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 61.9% → 61.7% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.95 → 3.95 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.7 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.78 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

10.6% 9.4 —
14.5% 6.9 —
74.9% 1.34 —
25.1% 3.98 —
89.4% 1.12 —
85.5% 1.17 —

Half-time result

12.9% 7.74 —
28.4% 3.52 —
58.7% 1.7 —

Half-time double chance

41.3% 2.42 —
87.1% 1.15 —
71.6% 1.4 —

HT/FT

5.7% 17.7 —
3.5% 28.65 —
3.8% 26.39 —
3.9% 25.77 —
7.3% 13.68 —
17.2% 5.82 —
3.7% 27.03 —
53.9% 1.86 —

HT/FT double chance

20.3% 4.92 —
30.5% 3.28 —
31.8% 3.15 —
14.0% 7.17 —
64.4% 1.55 —
64.9% 1.54 —
16.0% 6.25 —
76.1% 1.31 —
82.1% 1.22 —

Total goals

90.3% 1.11 —
74.9% 1.34 —
55.5% 1.8 —
9.7% 10.33 —
25.1% 3.98 —
44.5% 2.25 —

1st-half goals

83.3% 1.2 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Home team goals

65.4% 1.53 —
28.2% 3.55 —

Away team goals

94.2% 1.06 —
78.3% 1.28 —

Both to score

61.7% 1.62 —

Corners

70.9% 1.41 —
60.1% 1.67 —
49.1% 2.04 —
38.6% 2.59 —
28.9% 3.46 —
39.9% 2.5 —
50.9% 1.96 —
61.4% 1.63 —
71.1% 1.41 —

Home corners

51.3% 1.95 —
33.8% 2.96 —
21.0% 4.76 —

Away corners

78.3% 1.28 —
65.2% 1.53 —
50.8% 1.97 —

Cards

68.1% 1.47 —
50.0% 2.0 —
33.4% 2.99 —
20.6% 4.86 —
50.0% 2.0 —
66.6% 1.5 —
79.4% 1.26 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds