Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-27
Southampton – Middlesbrough
Home
51%
1.98 fair
Draw
23%
4.43 fair
Away
27%
3.73 fair
Expected Goals3.12
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.6%
→
50.6%
-1.0 pp
Draw
21.3%
→
22.6%
+1.3 pp
Away
27.0%
→
26.8%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
66.5%
→
60.3%
-6.3 pp
Both teams to score
65.2%
→
61.0%
-4.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.4 →
3.12
-0.28
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 15.6% | 6.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.7% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.69 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.91 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.9 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.1% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — |
Both to score
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Corners
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Home corners
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Away corners
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.82 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds