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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-27

Werder Bremen – M'gladbach

Home 48% 2.07 fair
Draw 23% 4.28 fair
Away 28% 3.52 fair
Expected Goals3.04
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.8% → 48.2% +4.4 pp
Draw 24.2% → 23.4% -0.9 pp
Away 32.0% → 28.4% -3.5 pp
Over 2.5 57.8% → 58.7% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 60.4% → 60.0% -0.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.01 → 3.04 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.2% 2.07 —
23.4% 4.28 —
28.4% 3.52 —
71.6% 1.4 —
51.8% 1.93 —
76.6% 1.3 —

Half-time result

28.0% 3.58 —
42.0% 2.38 —
30.0% 3.33 —

Half-time double chance

70.0% 1.43 —
72.0% 1.39 —
58.0% 1.72 —

Both halves

13.2% 7.58 —

HT/FT

23.1% 4.33 —
3.4% 29.07 —
19.9% 5.03 —
13.1% 7.63 —
9.0% 11.1 —
5.2% 19.23 —
6.8% 14.66 —
18.0% 5.55 —

HT/FT double chance

59.6% 1.68 —
53.4% 1.87 —
27.0% 3.71 —
38.6% 2.59 —
47.7% 2.09 —
29.7% 3.37 —
45.0% 2.22 —
52.1% 1.92 —
47.0% 2.13 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
80.6% 1.24 —
58.7% 1.7 —
36.3% 2.75 —
19.4% 5.16 —
41.3% 2.42 —
63.7% 1.57 —

1st-half goals

70.2% 1.42 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Home team goals

82.6% 1.21 —
52.3% 1.91 —

Away team goals

72.6% 1.38 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Both to score

60.0% 1.67 —

Corners

67.0% 1.49 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.2% 2.26 —
33.8% 2.96 —
24.8% 4.03 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.8% 1.79 —
66.2% 1.51 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Home corners

71.8% 1.39 —
56.2% 1.78 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Away corners

55.5% 1.8 —
38.3% 2.61 —
24.4% 4.1 —

Cards

77.2% 1.3 —
60.8% 1.65 —
44.4% 2.25 —
30.6% 3.27 —
39.2% 2.55 —
55.6% 1.8 —
69.4% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds