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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-24

Stevenage – Sheffield Weds

Home 32% 3.13 fair
Draw 30% 3.36 fair
Away 38% 2.61 fair
Expected Goals2.1
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.535%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 24.4% → 31.9% +7.5 pp
Draw 30.7% → 29.8% -1.0 pp
Away 44.9% → 38.3% -6.6 pp
Over 2.5 30.3% → 35.1% +4.8 pp
Both teams to score 37.0% → 42.2% +5.2 pp
Expected Goals 1.94 → 2.1 +0.16
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.84 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.89 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.9% 3.13 —
29.8% 3.36 —
38.3% 2.61 —
61.7% 1.62 —
68.1% 1.47 —
70.2% 1.42 —

Half-time result

20.2% 4.95 —
52.3% 1.91 —
27.5% 3.64 —

Half-time double chance

72.5% 1.38 —
79.8% 1.25 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Both halves

5.8% 17.15 —

HT/FT

14.8% 6.75 —
3.8% 26.67 —
15.2% 6.57 —
21.2% 4.71 —
15.9% 6.29 —
4.8% 20.88 —
20.8% 4.81 —

HT/FT double chance

55.0% 1.82 —
47.6% 2.1 —
42.5% 2.35 —
25.2% 3.96 —
39.1% 2.56 —
30.9% 3.23 —
43.1% 2.32 —
53.8% 1.86 —
62.7% 1.59 —

Total goals

87.6% 1.14 —
62.1% 1.61 —
35.1% 2.85 —
16.1% 6.22 —
37.9% 2.64 —
64.9% 1.54 —
83.9% 1.19 —

1st-half goals

54.9% 1.82 —
18.8% 5.32 —

Home team goals

62.9% 1.59 —
25.9% 3.87 —

Away team goals

67.0% 1.49 —
30.7% 3.26 —

Both to score

42.2% 2.37 —

Corners

70.8% 1.41 —
60.2% 1.66 —
49.6% 2.01 —
39.7% 2.52 —
30.7% 3.26 —
39.8% 2.52 —
50.3% 1.99 —
60.3% 1.66 —
69.3% 1.44 —

Home corners

68.9% 1.45 —
53.3% 1.88 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Away corners

64.8% 1.54 —
49.0% 2.04 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Cards

70.8% 1.41 —
52.3% 1.91 —
34.9% 2.87 —
21.6% 4.62 —
47.7% 2.1 —
65.1% 1.54 —
78.3% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds