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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-24

Bradford – Barnsley

Home 50% 2.0 fair
Draw 26% 3.8 fair
Away 24% 4.22 fair
Expected Goals2.39
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.6% → 50.0% -0.7 pp
Draw 25.2% → 26.3% +1.1 pp
Away 24.2% → 23.7% -0.5 pp
Over 2.5 47.5% → 43.1% -4.3 pp
Both teams to score 49.6% → 46.3% -3.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.56 → 2.39 -0.17
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.31 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.56 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

50.0% 2.0 —
26.3% 3.8 —
23.7% 4.22 —
76.3% 1.31 —
50.0% 2.0 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

25.6% 3.9 —
49.0% 2.04 —
25.3% 3.95 —

Half-time double chance

74.7% 1.34 —
74.4% 1.34 —
50.9% 1.96 —

Both halves

12.3% 8.1 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.53 —
23.6% 4.24 —
17.2% 5.81 —
8.2% 12.12 —
4.3% 23.26 —
6.2% 16.13 —
14.8% 6.74 —

HT/FT double chance

65.8% 1.52 —
54.5% 1.83 —
29.0% 3.45 —
35.5% 2.82 —
41.8% 2.39 —
24.6% 4.07 —
51.3% 1.95 —
51.0% 1.96 —
46.5% 2.15 —

Total goals

90.7% 1.1 —
69.0% 1.45 —
43.1% 2.32 —
22.1% 4.54 —
31.0% 3.23 —
56.9% 1.76 —
78.0% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

59.6% 1.68 —
22.9% 4.36 —

Home team goals

77.0% 1.3 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Away team goals

60.0% 1.67 —
23.8% 4.21 —

Both to score

46.3% 2.16 —

Corners

80.9% 1.24 —
72.7% 1.38 —
64.1% 1.56 —
54.4% 1.84 —
44.6% 2.24 —
27.4% 3.66 —
35.9% 2.78 —
45.6% 2.19 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Home corners

84.0% 1.19 —
73.1% 1.37 —
60.8% 1.64 —

Away corners

62.0% 1.61 —
45.6% 2.19 —
31.5% 3.18 —

Cards

79.0% 1.27 —
62.4% 1.6 —
46.2% 2.17 —
31.5% 3.18 —
37.6% 2.66 —
53.8% 1.86 —
68.5% 1.46 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds