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Fixtures / League One / 2027-01-09

Luton – Sheffield Weds

Home 38% 2.62 fair
Draw 25% 4.05 fair
Away 37% 2.7 fair
Expected Goals2.91
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.1 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.2% 2.62 —
24.7% 4.05 —
37.1% 2.7 —
62.9% 1.59 —
61.8% 1.62 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Half-time result

26.9% 3.72 —
36.7% 2.72 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Half-time double chance

63.6% 1.57 —
73.1% 1.37 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Both halves

10.0% 9.99 —

HT/FT

21.4% 4.67 —
4.1% 24.45 —
13.5% 7.4 —
14.0% 7.17 —
9.3% 10.8 —
3.3% 30.67 —
6.7% 15.04 —
26.5% 3.78 —

HT/FT double chance

53.0% 1.89 —
45.6% 2.19 —
28.7% 3.49 —
35.4% 2.82 —
52.5% 1.9 —
38.6% 2.59 —
37.4% 2.68 —
52.5% 1.9 —
56.3% 1.77 —

Total goals

94.6% 1.06 —
78.7% 1.27 —
55.6% 1.8 —
33.6% 2.98 —
21.3% 4.69 —
44.4% 2.25 —
66.4% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

77.4% 1.29 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Home team goals

76.8% 1.3 —
43.1% 2.32 —

Away team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.2% 2.37 —

Both to score

58.7% 1.7 —

Corners

79.1% 1.26 —
70.4% 1.42 —
60.4% 1.66 —
50.6% 1.98 —
41.0% 2.44 —
29.6% 3.37 —
39.6% 2.53 —
49.4% 2.02 —
59.0% 1.7 —

Home corners

80.1% 1.25 —
67.9% 1.47 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Away corners

64.0% 1.56 —
47.9% 2.09 —
33.4% 2.99 —

Cards

74.1% 1.35 —
55.5% 1.8 —
38.4% 2.61 —
24.6% 4.07 —
44.5% 2.25 —
61.6% 1.62 —
75.4% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds