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Fixtures / League One / 2027-01-08

Burton – Blackpool

Home 36% 2.77 fair
Draw 27% 3.72 fair
Away 37% 2.7 fair
Expected Goals2.53
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.2% → 36.1% -0.0 pp
Draw 26.8% → 26.9% +0.1 pp
Away 37.0% → 37.0% -0.0 pp
Over 2.5 46.2% → 46.2% +0.0 pp
Both teams to score 51.2% → 51.3% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.53 → 2.53 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.84 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.75 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.1% 2.77 —
26.9% 3.72 —
37.0% 2.7 —
63.0% 1.59 —
63.8% 1.57 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Half-time result

27.9% 3.59 —
44.8% 2.23 —
27.4% 3.65 —

Half-time double chance

72.6% 1.38 —
72.1% 1.39 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Both halves

8.9% 11.25 —

HT/FT

20.7% 4.82 —
5.1% 19.42 —
13.5% 7.39 —
16.9% 5.93 —
14.4% 6.96 —
4.9% 20.62 —
20.6% 4.84 —

HT/FT double chance

56.3% 1.78 —
50.6% 1.98 —
38.4% 2.61 —
32.6% 3.07 —
45.2% 2.21 —
32.6% 3.06 —
37.1% 2.7 —
50.4% 1.98 —
56.7% 1.76 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
71.8% 1.39 —
46.2% 2.16 —
24.8% 4.04 —
28.2% 3.55 —
53.8% 1.86 —
75.2% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

66.3% 1.51 —
30.0% 3.34 —

Home team goals

71.4% 1.4 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Away team goals

72.0% 1.39 —
36.2% 2.77 —

Both to score

51.3% 1.95 —

Corners

71.1% 1.41 —
60.4% 1.66 —
49.9% 2.0 —
39.8% 2.52 —
30.9% 3.24 —
39.6% 2.52 —
50.1% 2.0 —
60.2% 1.66 —
69.1% 1.45 —

Home corners

70.8% 1.41 —
55.6% 1.8 —
41.7% 2.4 —

Away corners

62.5% 1.6 —
46.3% 2.16 —
32.5% 3.08 —

Cards

68.4% 1.46 —
49.3% 2.03 —
32.9% 3.04 —
20.0% 5.0 —
50.7% 1.97 —
67.1% 1.49 —
80.0% 1.25 —

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