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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-12-01

Dunfermline – Arbroath

Home 56% 1.78 fair
Draw 26% 3.83 fair
Away 18% 5.61 fair
Expected Goals2.27
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 57.7% → 56.0% -1.6 pp
Draw 25.4% → 26.1% +0.7 pp
Away 16.9% → 17.8% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 39.8% → 39.4% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 39.8% → 40.8% +1.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.27 → 2.27 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.41 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

56.0% 1.78 —
26.1% 3.83 —
17.8% 5.61 —
82.2% 1.22 —
44.0% 2.28 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Half-time result

34.4% 2.91 —
50.0% 2.0 —
15.6% 6.41 —

Half-time double chance

84.4% 1.18 —
65.6% 1.52 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Both halves

16.7% 5.99 —

HT/FT

30.1% 3.32 —
3.5% 28.99 —
23.4% 4.27 —
18.4% 5.44 —
8.2% 12.21 —
4.3% 23.36 —
8.8% 11.39 —

HT/FT double chance

75.3% 1.33 —
62.6% 1.6 —
30.9% 3.24 —
40.4% 2.48 —
42.3% 2.36 —
17.4% 5.75 —
48.6% 2.06 —
42.9% 2.33 —
39.6% 2.52 —

Total goals

89.0% 1.12 —
65.7% 1.52 —
39.4% 2.54 —
19.8% 5.06 —
34.3% 2.91 —
60.6% 1.65 —
80.2% 1.25 —

1st-half goals

57.6% 1.74 —
21.5% 4.66 —

Home team goals

77.8% 1.28 —
45.2% 2.21 —

Away team goals

52.0% 1.92 —
16.9% 5.92 —

Both to score

40.8% 2.45 —

Corners

65.7% 1.52 —
55.6% 1.8 —
45.1% 2.22 —
35.8% 2.79 —
27.4% 3.66 —
44.4% 2.25 —
54.9% 1.82 —
64.2% 1.56 —
72.7% 1.38 —

Home corners

70.6% 1.42 —
56.1% 1.78 —
42.6% 2.35 —

Away corners

54.1% 1.85 —
38.0% 2.63 —
25.0% 3.99 —

Cards

73.7% 1.36 —
56.3% 1.78 —
40.1% 2.49 —
26.1% 3.84 —
43.7% 2.29 —
59.9% 1.67 —
73.9% 1.35 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds