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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-11

Magdeburg – Nurnberg

Home 47% 2.15 fair
Draw 22% 4.63 fair
Away 32% 3.14 fair
Expected Goals3.44
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.567%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.4% → 46.5% +1.2 pp
Draw 22.3% → 21.6% -0.7 pp
Away 32.4% → 31.9% -0.5 pp
Over 2.5 66.4% → 66.7% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 66.6% → 66.5% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.42 → 3.44 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.3 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.5% 2.15 —
21.6% 4.63 —
31.9% 3.14 —
68.1% 1.47 —
53.4% 1.87 —
78.4% 1.28 —

Half-time result

31.9% 3.13 —
35.5% 2.81 —
32.5% 3.08 —

Half-time double chance

67.5% 1.48 —
68.0% 1.47 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Both halves

14.6% 6.86 —

HT/FT

26.4% 3.79 —
4.0% 25.06 —
15.6% 6.41 —
11.1% 9.05 —
8.9% 11.26 —
4.6% 21.93 —
6.6% 15.24 —
21.4% 4.67 —

HT/FT double chance

57.0% 1.75 —
52.4% 1.91 —
25.5% 3.92 —
41.5% 2.41 —
53.9% 1.85 —
33.5% 2.98 —
37.8% 2.65 —
50.4% 1.98 —
47.9% 2.09 —

Total goals

96.8% 1.03 —
85.8% 1.17 —
66.7% 1.5 —
45.0% 2.22 —
14.2% 7.04 —
33.3% 3.0 —
55.0% 1.82 —

1st-half goals

79.5% 1.26 —
47.3% 2.12 —

Home team goals

84.7% 1.18 —
56.6% 1.77 —

Away team goals

78.7% 1.27 —
45.6% 2.19 —

Both to score

66.5% 1.5 —

Corners

72.4% 1.38 —
61.8% 1.62 —
51.1% 1.96 —
40.8% 2.45 —
31.2% 3.2 —
38.2% 2.62 —
48.9% 2.04 —
59.2% 1.69 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Home corners

70.5% 1.42 —
55.3% 1.81 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Away corners

65.5% 1.53 —
49.2% 2.03 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Cards

86.6% 1.15 —
74.0% 1.35 —
58.5% 1.71 —
42.8% 2.34 —
26.1% 3.84 —
41.5% 2.41 —
57.2% 1.75 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds