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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-13

Werder Bremen – Leverkusen

Home 26% 3.82 fair
Draw 22% 4.6 fair
Away 52% 1.92 fair
Expected Goals3.22
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 26.1% → 26.2% +0.1 pp
Draw 22.0% → 21.8% -0.3 pp
Away 51.9% → 52.0% +0.2 pp
Over 2.5 64.2% → 62.3% -1.9 pp
Both teams to score 63.2% → 61.9% -1.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.28 → 3.22 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.84 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.2% 3.82 —
21.8% 4.6 —
52.0% 1.92 —
48.0% 2.09 —
73.8% 1.36 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Half-time result

16.6% 6.02 —
35.0% 2.86 —
48.4% 2.07 —

Half-time double chance

51.6% 1.94 —
83.4% 1.2 —
65.0% 1.54 —

Both halves

5.2% 19.08 —

HT/FT

11.7% 8.57 —
3.1% 32.26 —
11.3% 8.83 —
11.4% 8.74 —
12.2% 8.18 —
3.2% 31.06 —
7.2% 13.87 —
38.0% 2.63 —

HT/FT double chance

37.5% 2.66 —
37.1% 2.7 —
28.6% 3.49 —
25.2% 3.97 —
54.7% 1.83 —
50.1% 2.0 —
33.2% 3.01 —
64.7% 1.54 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Total goals

96.1% 1.04 —
82.9% 1.21 —
62.3% 1.61 —
39.8% 2.51 —
17.1% 5.85 —
37.7% 2.65 —
60.2% 1.66 —

1st-half goals

77.7% 1.29 —
44.5% 2.25 —

Home team goals

72.8% 1.37 —
37.2% 2.69 —

Away team goals

85.2% 1.17 —
57.0% 1.75 —

Both to score

61.9% 1.61 —

Corners

66.3% 1.51 —
54.7% 1.83 —
43.6% 2.29 —
33.0% 3.03 —
24.2% 4.13 —
45.3% 2.21 —
56.4% 1.77 —
67.0% 1.49 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Home corners

53.9% 1.86 —
36.5% 2.74 —
22.7% 4.4 —

Away corners

71.6% 1.4 —
56.7% 1.76 —
41.9% 2.38 —

Cards

80.7% 1.24 —
66.0% 1.52 —
50.1% 2.0 —
35.8% 2.79 —
34.0% 2.94 —
49.9% 2.0 —
64.2% 1.56 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds